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Form Analysis: Albion Park Sep 09

9 September 2021

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RACE ONE

BETTING ORIGIN (7) is a 2YO tackling this mixed maiden and comes into the contest after finishing the runner-up at his past 3 in succession. Starting deep into the red last start at Redcliffe, he made a costly gate error and his run under the circumstances was big. A return to the big oval should suit.

JELIGNITE JACK (4) arrives in Qld to join the Graham Dwyer barn after 10 starts in the Hunter region of NSW have returned one placing. That came at his last start when working hard in the run sitting parked at Newcastle 10 days back. He strikes a winnable race and with the stable having an excellent first up strike-rate, he stays under watch.

STUDLEIGH MARK (1) has hit the board in 3 of his past 5 starts and should fins this race a big drop back in grade from his last outing. That was back in mid-July when down the line and from this alley is right in the fight.

ALWAYSBME (8) is a 2YO filly on debut for Mark Dux out of the firing first season sire Always B Miki and is a half-sister to the former smart race mare Covert Beauty. The cosy trip should suit first up.

SELECTIONS: BETTING ORIGIN (7), JELIGNITE JACK (4), STUDLEIGH MARK (1), ALWAYSBME (8)
SUGGESTED BET: BETTING ORIGIN (7) to win

RACE THREE

CINDAROCKINRELLA (4)
eased from gate 5 last start to secure position before powering home in the closing stages to grab the prize. A beaten fav the start prior, she was too smart for them 3 back and at her only run here at headquarters, she was put out of play in a scrimmage. She looks the one to beat again.

WHATA REACTOR (10) found the 1x1 trail over the 1780m tip last start and with the right trail was able to land the closing shot to claim a 4m victory. Game in defeat after a tough trip 3 starts back and holding on for the silver, with the right trail she can look to make a challenge.

MUSTANG DUDE (2) has been in nice touch in recent starts on the smaller tracks and will try to convert that here at his 1st look at The Creek. Grabbed late by WHATA REACTOR last start, he can fire the early bullets here.

KOOKABURRAPRINCESS (7) was heavily supported last start to start favourite when taken off the gate before trying to make a closing play and finishing 6m from the winner. The wide gate stings but she can feature.

SELECTIONS: CINDAROCKINRELLA (4), WHATA REACTOR (10), MUSTANG DUDE (2), KOOKABURRAPRINCESS (7)
SUGGESTED BET: CINDAROCKINRELLA (4) to win

RACE FOUR

WHATTA GOOD REASON (1)
was sent out as favourite over the 2040m at Redcliffe 2 starts back when sent straight to the front and never headed thereafter when holding on for a narrow victory. Buried in the run last start from inside the 2nd line, he has all the favours from this gate to take advantage.

GET READY TO ROCK (5) has had 4 visits to The Creek, returning a win and 2 minors. Wide off the track and chasing last start, nothing really made ground as JEWEL OF PEAK took them all the way. Runner-up her previous 3 in succession including margins of a nose and half-head, she can throw it down in this.

JAZIAH (8) found the pocket trail from gate 4 last start over the 2040m at The Triangle and making a last play was 1.5m from the winner MACH TORQUE. With the economical trip in this she can be probing.

PIPPA MAGUIRE (2) was stepping out for the 3rd time since joining the Ronny Sallis stable last start when finishing over the top of them from the 2nd line. Settling handy here can see her feature.

SELECTIONS: WHATTA GOOD REASON (1), GET READY TO ROCK (5), JAZIAH (8), PIPPA MAGUIRE (2)
SUGGESTED BET: GET READY TO ROCK (5) win/place

RACE FIVE

JUST ONE GOOD ONE (8) will need some factors in his favour from this alley but if able to hit the lane with momentum, he can make a winning strike. From the pocket trail last start, he was able to find the space to right line and finish for a narrow win. Placed his previous 4 in succession, he can arrive.

ARMA VEYRON (1) landed this gate here 3 starts back when taking her first look at The Creek and sent to the post as favourite. From the pocket trail, she held on to be 8m from the winner DEVOUGED before finishing as the runner-up at her past 2. The gate gives her the chance to cash-in.

ALWAYS AT NIGHT (3) has placed in 4 of 5 starts since resuming from a spell, the latest when sent forward early at Marburg and grinding it out from the breeze. Settling handy can see him feature.

TRACER BULLET (11) released from gate 1 last time out at Redcliffe and was keen in the run when 7m from the winner. Placed once in 4 starts since arriving in Qld, the bigger oval might aid his chances.

SELECTIONS: JUST ONE GOOD ONE (8), ARMA VEYRON (1), ALWAYS AT NIGHT (3), TRACER BULLET (11)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-3-8-11

RACE SIX

After facing the 2nd line at her past 3 starts BARIKA (5) should appreciate a return to the front line here. Wide off the track when trying to chase behind STRONG RESPONSE last start, she was 5m from the dictating winner the start prior. Still searching for her first victory in Australia, today might just be the day.

AYE AYE CAPTAIN (6) has the tough gate to negotiate but has been around the money in recent outings, the latest when settling in a rearward position from gate 3 and launching late when 3m from the winner. Only 8m away here 2 starts back, he can make a closing challenge here.

WHATA OPTIMIST (1) found the 1x1 trail last start over the Redcliffe sprint trip and had the power to finish over the top of them. Buried against the poles 2 starts back, the gate is a big plus here.

HOLDINGNO CURRENCY (9) found the running line from gate 9 last start over the sprint trip and had the closing power to arrive for the prize. With a similar trail he can be ready to chime in here.

SELECTIONS: BARIKA (5), AYE AYE CAPTAIN (6), WHATA OPTIMIST (1), HOLDINGNO CURRENCY (9)
SUGGESTED BET: BARIKA (5) to win

RACE SEVEN

CLASSIE AMERICAN (1)
settled in the running line from gate 2 last time out in much tougher company and was sectionally strong to the wire when 6m from the winner NURBURGRING. Making nice metres behind EL AGUILA the start prior, he has all the options here to capitalise.

SPORT MENTAL (8) was beaten by gate 6 last start when retreating early before trying to make a run wide off the track as SO BOBS YOUR UNCLE shot through to score. Only 3m in arrears of the winner in that contest, she found them a bit out of reach the start prior in a strong mare’s event. She will be probing.

SO BOBS YOUR UNCLE (9) has hit some form and lines up here with 2 wins at his past 3 starts. Buried in the run last start over the 1780m, he stuck to the inside and charged through to score. He can be finishing strongly again.

TORQUE ONETWOTHREE (3) settled in the 1x1 trail last time when not too far from the winner BELLA BALL TERROR. Chasing behind KEAYANG MARVEN 2 starts back, she is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: CLASSIE AMERICAN (1), SPORT MENTAL (8), SO BOBS YOUR UNCLE (9), TORQUE ONETWOTHREE (3)
SUGGESTED BET: CLASSIE AMERICAN (1) to win

 

RACE EIGHT

QUICK STEP (12)
has not been on her best manners at the start in recent outings and faces the extreme gate owing to those manners. After the error 2 starts back the run was enormous to be only 5m in arrears of the winner. Chasing hard last start behind AJAY BREEZY ROSE, with the right tempo she can arrive.

BLISSFULDAY (10) should appreciate a return to this grad after tackling qualifiers at his past 2 where he has found them a little out of reach, the latest as ROCK FISHERMAN scored a sharp win. A passing lane winner at Redcliffe 3 starts back, he can look for the trip to make a challenge.

BOLTA (7) has no favours from the wide gate as he takes his first look at Albion Park. Sent forward to sit parked last start over the 2040m at The Triangle, he fought gamely for the bronze. He can chime in here.

IL MAXIMUS (4) has good hustle out of the machine and showed that when firing out from gate 5 to lead 2 starts back. Strong to the line last time behind GENERAL MONTANA, he is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: QUICK STEP (12), BLISSFULDAY (10), BOLTA (7), IL MAXIMUS (4)
SUGGESTED BET: QUICK STEP (12) to win