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Form Analysis: Albion Park Nov 10

10 November 2022

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RACE ONE

Chasing down a hat-trick of wins here two starts back MY RUMOUR HAS IT (10) has thrown her chacnes away with costly errors at each of her past two starts. A big winner from the mobile over this trip four back, she can turn it around and bounce back with a victory.

HELLO JOLENE JOLENE (7) has been doing plenty wrong in recent starts, the latest when missing the start and never a factor. At her best, a race like this would be well withing reach and with 9 wins here on this deck has the ability. With a smart trial hit out since her last race, she can improve.

EVERYSECONDCOUNTS (1) has been in the money at her past six in succession, the latest a 4m 3rd after settling three back on the poles form this same gate at the 2138m trip. She will be probing.

DREAM INCEPTION (5) arrives for visiting trainer Troy Williams, his last victory coming back in March. A close 3rd at Canberra two starts back after showing early speed, he stays under watch.

SELECTIONS: MY RUMOUR HAS IT (10), HELLO JOLENE JOLEN (7), EVERYSECONDCOUNTS (1), DREAM INCEPTION (5)
SUGGESTED BET: MY RUMOUR HAS IT (10) to win

RACE TWO

Resuming from a spell over the Redcliffe 1780m two starts back, ACE LOMBO (4) made a costly error that ended his night and also cost a return to the trials. Returning here last week from inside the second line, it was a sound effort behind BLUE SHARD. These one -win conditions look ideal.

CORVETTE JOE (9) was first up in over two years last time out when tackling a Redcliffe maiden from gate 3. Finding space to squeeze in behind the leader, he had the speed to finish them off and take a 5m margin. With added fitness from that outing, he can be throwing down a challenge in this.

JADES DIAMOND (5) had a solitary start in her 2YO term when grabbing the bronze. Resuming with a first up win at 3 on The Triangle, she grabbed 3rd last start and has podium claims once again.

BARROOM BLITZ (1) tackled a three-win event last start at Redcliffe where he was locked away on the poles from the inside gate. Grabbing the bronze, conditions here look suitable for him to feature.
 

SELECTIONS: ACE LOMBO (4), CORVETTE JOE (9), JADES DIAMOND (5), BARROOM BLITZ (1)
SUGGESTED BET: ACE LOMBO (4) to win

RACE THREE

Placed at her past two starts, another win looks imminent for SHAKATIE (1) with the gate an added bonus for this contest. Working hard in the run last start from gate 5, she was in for the fight to be under 2m from the winner AWAYOVERNIGHT. With all the options, she can look to capitalise.

ABBEY DIADEMA (5) has 3 placings from her 16 visits to The Creek, with most of her recent outings at Redcliffe. Closing out strongly  in the latter stages last start after settled well back, she was just 2m astern of the winner. The gate makes it no easier here, but she can look to break her AP duck.

NON PASSARE (6) is afforded no favours from gate 6, the same alley he was able to finish in the money at Redcliffe last start. A hard horse to follow, he was a 3m 3rd here four back and can feature.

CLARES FOOL (8) will be needing some luck at some stage to find open space to make a play. 4m away in 3rd position at Marburg last start from outside the second line, he will be probing.

SELECTIONS: SHAKATIE (1), ABBEY DIADEMA (5), NON PASSARE (6), CLARES FOOL (8)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-5-6-8

RACE FOUR

After taking some time to get his first win on the board after an extended time on the sidelines, HIPSTAR (5) has taken his past two and goes in search of the hat-trick here. Finishing best from gate 10 last start to take out a 70Final, the gate is a little awkward but he can overcome the impediment.

MAJORDOIT (1) went around at Marburg last start from the second line and found it a tough ask getting into the contest. Taken back from gate 5 at Redcliffe two starts back where he was returning from a freshen, he will appreciate the improved gate and has the options to challenge.

KASH US BACK (4) should appreciate some mid-week company after meeting some tough opponents in recent outings. Gate 7 was his undoing as BITCOIN dictated last start and he can be sharper here.

GLENEAGLE WARRIOR (8) did some early work last time out when not too far from the winner SOEXTRA. Under 5m from the winner two starts back, he has the second line options to feature.

SELECTIONS: HIPSTAR (5), MAJORDOIT (1), KASH US BACK (4), GLENEAGLE WARRIOR (8)
SUGGESTED BET: HIPSTAR (5) to win

RACE FIVE

Needing some factors to fall in her favour, FORGIVE ME (8) will be hoping that the 1 looks for an all the way performance. If that scenario plays out, her stocks will rise exponentially, waiting for the gaps. Just a neck away last start, she has been in the money her past five on the bounce.

WONDERWOMAN JUJON (1) faced the outside second line at Redcliffe last time out and was able to finish best to descend on them for the prize. With just one minor placing in 13 attempts here at HQ, she has the gate and options to alter that statistic in challenging for the prize.

HIT THE TRACK (3) was sent around them in the early stages lasty start to sit parked and after the tough trip faded out toward the tail. Assess his chances on his 2nd here three back.

SHEZ GOT BLING (2) was attacking the line in smart order last start at The Triangle, going within a half-head of claiming the win. Settling closer to the action, she is right in the fight.

SELECTIONS: FORGIVE ME (8), WONDERWOMAN JUJON (1), HIT THE TRACK (3), SHEZ GOT BLING (2)
SUGGESTED BET: FORGIVE ME (8) to win

RACE SIX

After five runs back from a spell where he has hot the board in three of them, RANCHO MAN (4) might have found the right set up to add another win to the tally. Taken back from a wide gate last start and never getting warm, he can show early hustle in this line up and from the front would be hard to hold out.

MASTER CHARLES (1) has hot the board at his past two, the latest when trying for an all the way victory but gunned down in the closing stages to take 3rd, finishing 8m from the winner HEADWIN. Releasing the speed from this gate two back, he holds the options and the keys to this contest.

WHATA TERROR (6) lands another tough gate after starting from the second line at his past three. A winner form this same gate five back when arriving for a PB victory, he has claims again here.

THE CASUAL GOOSE (8) looks set for an economical trip, his chances set to be determined on whether he is leaders back or shuffled one spot further back. He can probe his way into the placings.

SELECTIONS: RANCHO MAN (4), MASTER CHARLES (1), WHATA TERROR (6), THE CASUAL GOOSE (8)
SUGGESTED BET:  

 

RACE SEVEN

Hitting the board in both appearances since joining the Ronny Sallis barn, THE WEEKEND (6) faces the tough gate but this looks no harder than what he has met to date. Sitting parked last time and fighting hard for the silver, it followed a smart first up victory. He can defy the gate impediment.

FAST TRACKER (9) started from gate 1 at Redcliffe last start when snookered on the poles and chasing in vain behind THE GROGFATHER. With the right trail in the early stages, he can possie up to issue a challenge.

TURBO BROMAC (1) turned his form around with a smart swooping win here three back and followed it with victory at the 2138. Beaten by gate 7 when searching for the threepeat, he has the options to make career start 100 memorable.

MANLY MACH (10) makes his first appearance here in Qld for Troy Williams. Asked to work hard in the run last start at Penrith, the second line affords him no favours for this battle.

SELECTIONS: THE WEEKEND (6), FAST TRACKER (9), TURBO BROMAC (1), MANLY MACH (10)
SUGGESTED BET: THE WEEKEND (6) to win

RACE EIGHT

The 2138m makes this an even tougher contest with early mapping looking a tricky affair. Despite being winless in over 16 months, STOMPEM (1) might just have found his way back to a winnable battle. Closing out in nice order in the Peak of the Creek Final, he can be tucked away here to pinch this.

CHAINLINC (3) was sitting parked last start and grafted out a determined 2nd as SMOOTH CASH led throughout over the Redcliffe sprint trip. Sectionally super in recent efforts, positioning cheaply looks the key to his challenging chances, with his middle trip record not the best.

BE MY ROCK (12) has the extreme alley to negotiate after being banished following an early error last time out at Redcliffe. Losing all momentum two starts back when the leader faded, he can chime in wide out in this open affair.

CONGO LINE (2) was a winner over this trip five starts back when eased from gate 7 before making a wide and winning charge. Midifled behind ANIMADO last start, he can fire some early bullets.

SELECTIONS: STOMPEM (1), CHAINLINC (3) BE MY ROCK (12), CONGO LINE (2)
SUGGESTED BET: STOMPEM (1) win/place

RACE NINE

A PB winner four starts back when pressing on to lead and take them all the way, SLICK SOPHIE (1) achieved a solitary placing in three appearances through October. That was a 3rd to subsequent winner DELIGHTFUL REASON in a mare’s only contest. From the gate she gets every chance.
 
CONVAIR HUSTLER (8)
was asked to do it the tough way last start when sitting parked, the tough trip taking its toll. Too far back against the tempo the start prior, he was runner-up to PARAMA three back from the trail which had followed a qualifying victory. He will be stalking.

THE GROGFATHER (9) has appreciated a return to action on The Triangle where he has won 2 of his past 3 outings. Controlling it in front last start, with the right trip he can make a play in this.

HESTON ZOOLANDER (5) continues a tough run of barriers where he has been no closer than gate 5 at his past five starts. Taken back in a Peak of the Creek heat last start, he can chime in here.

SELECTIONS: SLICK SOPHIE (1), CONVAIR HUSTLER (8), THE GROGFATHER (9), HESTON ZOOLANDER (5)
SUGGESTED BET: