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Form Analysis: Marburg Nov 20

20 November 2022

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RACE ONE

JAYDES TERROR (7) started from inside the second line last start over the Redcliffe sprint trip and despite finishing in the second half of the pack, was just 2m from the winner in a blanket finish. Grabbing the silver behind RISKY BUZINESS here two back, she finds the right set up to arrive.

DARGOS PET (6) has faced the second line at his past three in succession, the latest when down the line at Redcliffe where he may have been closer if a little more luck came his way. 7m from the winner THE MACH ARMY two back, he will be tucked away probing for the splits.

TODAYS HERO (1) is closing in on three years since his last victory and is yet to find a placing after 23 attempts this season. He does however find suitable conditions here to feature.

WEDDING NIGHT (9) returns from a spell, sent for a break after making a mess of the start and finishing down the line on this deck last time. She can be joining in late.

SELECTIONS: JAYDES TERROR (7), DARGOS PET (6), TODAYS HERO (1), WEDDING NIGHT (9)
SUGGESTED BET: JAYDES TERROR (7) to win

RACE TWO

UNDERTHEKILT (2) is a two-time winner on this deck, his last appearance here back in July where he grabbed a 2nd from a second line gate. Runner-up two starts back at Redcliffe, his effort from the second line last time at HQ was solid and with the gate advantage, he can burrow through.

SWEET JASMINE (7) eased from a wide gate last time over the Redcliffe sprint and was never in the mix. Hitting the line in nice order two back when 5m from the winner PRINCE JOY, she can follow through from the start to secure position and issue a challenge.

STUDLEIGH WILL (3) was snookered from inside the second line over the AP mile last start and was not helped when locking wheels. He can have an early look and be close enough to feature.

JELIGNITE JACK (1) has placed in all 4 attempts here at the Little M, the latest two starts back from inside the second line when finishing a 5m 3rd to LA PISTOLA. From the gate he can add another.

SELECTIONS: UNDERTHEKILT (2), SWEET JASMINE (7), STUDLEIGH WILL (3), JELIGNITE JACK (1)
SUGGESTED BET: UNDERTHEKILT (2) to win

RACE THREE

CAPTAIN BRAVEHEART (2)
overcame the outside front line when sent forward over the AP mile two starts back and from the front held on to take a 4m margin. Taken off the gate last start and never getting warm in the closing stages, he can lead the charge.

HEARTBREAK (1) claimed a mare’s qualifier four starts back when making the most of gate 1 to take them all the way. Not much has gone her way in the three runs since that win but she looks set to secure the ideal trip in behind the speed here and can look to make the closing shot a winning one.

ARTS PERGRINE (7) made a closing rally last start at Redcliffe when finishing just a head in arrears of the winner. Breaking a long drought with victory two runs back, he will be slicing through to feature.

CHARLEVOIX (4) might be forced to do the heavy lifting here, as he did two starts back when grafting it out and holding on for the silver. He will be fighting hard once again.

SELECTIONS: CAPTAIN BRAVEHEART (2), HEARTBREAK (1), ARTS PERGRINE (7), CHARLEVOIX (4)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 2 / 1-4-7

RACE FOUR

A tricky edition of the Harriott Memorial with a spread of handicaps. With the perfect record of 1 from 1 at this venue, the chances of SONETTO (2) will be known early. If she can step away cleanly and take an early advantage, she is every chance of leading throughout. With her past three of handicaps, the front is a huge asset.

FATHER CHRISTMAS (10) takes his first look at Marburg and faces the big back mark of 50m in his quest for victory. Midfield when 12m from KINGDOM COME in the Trot Feature two starts back, he was a close 2nd from 20m three runs back. Getting into the contest cheaply will be vital.

SET ME FREE (7) just could no go with them in the latter stages last start as JET LEGS burst away to score in smart fashion. Strong to the line three starts back, she can make a play here.

SHEGOTSASS (8) has placed in two of her three on this track and will strip fitter from her last attempt when resuming from a spell. 3rd to THE REAPER two starts back, she can join in.

SELECTIONS: SONETTO (2), FATHER CHRISTMAS (10), SET ME FREE (7), SHEGOTSASS (8)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE FIVE

RAFFERTY DELIGHTS (1)
has some handy numbers from his 8 starts at this track, claiming a win and 3 minors. Beaten by gate 5 last start over the Redcliffe sprint, he finds the right gate to get handy and overturn his winless streak that dates to March 2021.

DUKE (3) hits the board at 75% on this deck with 2 wins and 6 minors from his 12 attempts. Grabbing 3rd two starts back when using the passing lane to be 2m from WONDERWOMAN JUJON, he was trying to wind up last start behind GULMARG. He can be forward to challenge in this.

GO JO JOLT (6) will be searching for the gaps and trying to find a way to get clear from this alley. A Redcliffe winner three starts back when wide off the track, she can be joining in.

MALIBU DREAM (8) joins the Dan Russell yard after some indifferent form this campaign. Fading out last start, she stays under watch in this line up.

SELECTIONS: RAFFERTY DELIGHTS (1), DUKE (3), GO JO JOLT (6), MALIBU DREAM (8)
SUGGESTED BET: RAFFERTY DELIGHTS (1) to win

RACE SIX

NEVADA YANKEE (3)
faded out last time out on The Triangle after finding the front from gate 4 but unable to put them away. 3rd to subsequent winner THE WEEKEND two starts back after facing an inside second line gate, he can dart across and from the front prove a tough nut to crack.

WILLIEWA LIGHTNING (1) was asked to do it the tough way last start when sitting parked and was game in defeat when 3m from the winner MY ULTIMATE VICTOR. He might just lack the early punch to kick through, but even from the trail he can be close enough to throw down the challenge.

MIDNIGHT SOMEWHERE (5) steps out for his first look at the track to tackle this Marburg to Albion Series. Runner-up last start from outside the second line at Redcliffe, his chances have been dented from the outside paint.

OCTOBER RACKETEER (8) has been sectionally super of late, without much going his way. Attacking the line in style last time when runner-up to MOUNT HERCULES, he can capitalise if they overcook it up front.

SELECTIONS: NEVADA YANKEE (3), WILLIEWA LIGHTNING (1), MIDNIGHT SOMEWHERE (5), OCTOBER RACKETEER (8)
SUGGESTED BET:  NEVADA YANKEE (3) to win

 

RACE SEVEN

PACIFIC COIN (2)
will take further benefit from his latest appearance where he was third up from a spell. Taken back from gate 6, he sat rearward off a steady tempo and trying to make the closing raid was able to grab the bronze. With good hustle and the improved gate, he gets his chance to fire off the gate and dictate.

SCHEU CREEK (9) was snookered on the poles last start from inside the second line as MY ULTIMATE CLIPPA took the prize. Strong to the line in the closing stages two starts back after retreating from gate 5 to get within 7m of THE CASUAL GOOSE, he can be chiming in to make a challenge.

SPRINGFIELD SPIRIT (1) returns to the front row after his past four have all been off the back line, the latest when unable to wind up from the trail. With the early options, he is a podium hope.

WESTERN SHOWGIRL (6) held on for the silver behind MY ULTIMATE CLIPPA here tow starts back after securing the trail in behind. Likely to be tucked away again, she will be probing.

SELECTIONS: PACIFIC COIN (2), SCHEU CREEK (9), SPRINGFIELD SPIRIT (1), WESTERN SHOWGIRL (6)
SUGGESTED BET: PACIFIC COIN (2) to win

RACE EIGHT

TINGE OF FEAR (1)
comes into this contest in far superior form than she has been in when previously competing on this deck where she has one win and three minors. Releasing over the 2138m last start at headquarters and grabbing the silver, she took them all the way at the mile three back and can replicate that here.

SISTA BLISS (6) is the veteran of just two race starts, making an error on debut and finishing down the line over the AP mile. Bouncing back with a smart win second up defeating far more experienced rivals, she has since trialled soundly. Likely to be locked in the pocket, she will be awaiting the gaps.

GOALKICKER (2) took the trail last start from gate 1 over the AP mile and then had the close out sped up the passing lane to take the prize. She can be thereabouts.

VOODOO FELLA (5) has finished with the bronze at his past four in succession now, the latest when under 4m from GOALKICKER after being buried away. The gate stings his hopes.

SELECTIONS: TINGE OF FEAR (1), SISTA BLISS (6), GOALKICKER (2), VOODOO FELLA (5)
SUGGESTED BET: TINGE OF FEAR (1) to win

RACE NINE

MI FURIOSO TORO (1)
tackled a Peak of the Creek heat last start and after being asked to sit parked, wilted over the closing stages as FUTURE ASSURED held off the fast-finishing subsequent Final winner SPEED DATING. A big winner at Redcliffe three back, controlling on the small deck looks ideal.

LETSPLAYUNI (6) made the most of the lamp lighting duties on The Triangle two starts back when taking them all the way and pulling clear to a 7m margin. Wilting last start at The Creek after showing some early hustle, the map might suggest there will be plenty of time to get out and chase.

MAJORDOIT (8) tried to repel them early last time from gate 1 but had to trail and then went within a half-neck of arriving in the closing stages. He will be chasing hard with the up-front tempo.

SAILALONG SINBAD (3) is in search of the hat-trick after a win here was followed with a win at Redcliffe up the passing lane. Hitting the board in 4 of 6 here, he can be joining in.

SELECTIONS: MI FURIOSO TORO (1), LETSPLAYUNI (6), MAJORDOIT (8), SAILALONG SINBAD (3)
SUGGESTED BET: MI FURIOSO TORO (1) to win