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Form Analysis: Albion Park Feb 10

10 February 2023

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RACE ONE

On the back up from Tuesday, KORLOFF NOIR (4) looks to find suitable conditions here to chase down her second career victory and first here at The Creek. Buried in the run two starts back, she chased for the bronze behind THE WATERBOY  and taking control here can look to see it out.

NINETEENTHIRTYFOUR (7) has no favours from the outside of the front line but she has been consistent in her short career where she has missed the money just once. Asked to hang tough when parked last start, she was just 5m from THE WATERBOY in holding 2nd and can challenge again here.

ULTIMATE STINGRAY (6) was first up in Qld last start when facing the outside second line at Redcliffe. Striking trouble than ended his chances, he can bounce back into the money in this.

CHARLIE MY BOY (1) chased home for 3rd at Redcliffe two starts back and then last start the whole field was chasing as JAKKI MUN dictated in front. The gate aids his minor place hopes.

SELECTIONS: KORLOFF NOIR (4), NINETEENTHIRTYFOUR (7), ULTIMATE STINGRAY (6), CHARLIE MY BOY (1)
SUGGESTED BET: KORLOFF NOIR (4) to win

RACE TWO

It many ways the biggest query runner is also the key holder to this contest with WHERES OUR MONEY (1) first up in Qld after joining the Turpin stable. A beaten fav last start at Tamworth, he was just a half-head away on that same track three back when looking to go all the way. He has the gate.

LORD DENZEL (7) eased from gate 6 last start and from back in the pack was left chasing as FLY CHEVAL made a mid-race charge to blow them all off the track. Runner-up in both prior starts, he was a winner from gate 10 here four starts back and despite the gate can issue a challenge.

RISKY BUZINESS (8) was best of the rest behind FLY CHEVAL here last week and fought on to hold 2nd. Asked to sit parked from gate 6 the start prior at Redcliffe, he can secure the cosy trip here.

HESLUVABLE (3) has placed in 2 of his 9 here at HQ, his latest appearance when 6m from the winner over the Redcliffe sprint trip. Placed his previous two from tough gates, he can chime in here.

SELECTIONS: WHERES OUR MONEY (1), LORD DENZEL (7), RISKY BUZINESS (8), HESLUVABLE (3)
SUGGESTED BET: WHERES OUR MONEY (1) to win

RACE THREE

Despite the outside front line gate, REDS STAR DEAL (7) looks the best class runner in this field and he can let his class shine to defy the map. Eased last start in a strong Saturday night contest where FREE THINKER was dealing in front, he was strong to the line two back behind that same winner.

JILLIBY TYPHOON (2) showed some early hustle before easing into the pocket last time and then chased for the bronze when 2m from subsequent winner LOOKS JUST RIGHT. With the early speed to take control, she finds her chance to issue a challenge.
 
BEEF CITY STARZZZ (1) found suitable conditions at Redcliffe last start and when the gap opened darted clear to claim a huge 24m margin. With the soft trip behind the speed, he can chime in.

RANCHO MAN (3) was asked to roll the sleeved and do it the tough way last start when parked and he was fighting to the wire when 7m in arrears. Settling handy to the action, he can feature.

SELECTIONS: REDS STAR DEAL (7), JILLIBY TYPHOON (2), BEEF CITY STARZZZ (1), RANCHO MAN (3)
SUGGESTED BET: REDS STAR DEAL (7) to win

RACE FOUR

Chasing his third win in a week, the gate has not been kind but the opposition looks suitable for LOOKS JUST RIGHT (10) to secure the threepeat. Overcoming gate 7 here on Tuesday when sent to the front and fighting them all off, he can descend upon them here.

HOLDINGNO CURRENCY (8) eased into the 1x1 trail at Redcliffe last start and was trying to make some closing metres behind the winner PAGO PAGO. Unable to go when BRONSKI DELIGHT put the speed on two back, he will get the soft trip here and be probing for openings to challenge.

SKYLAR BREE (3) chalked up another minor last start when finishing 4m from subsequent winner NAKULA. Still a maiden, this is a step up in grade, but she can be handy enough to feature.

SPRINGFIELD SPIRIT (1) held the trail from this gate last start when finishing nearer the rear as ISNTTHATRIGHT claimed the prize. With available options, he is a podium hope in this line up.

SELECTIONS: LOOKS JUST RIGHT (10), HOLDINGNO CURRENCY (8), SKYLAR BREE (3), SPRINGFIELD SPIRIT (1)
SUGGESTED BET: LOOKS JUST RIGHT (10) to win

RACE FIVE

It is another step up again and made no easier by the wide gate, yet the way CUSTOM NIKE (7) landed the prize last start when first up from a spell was impressive. Stripping fitter from that run where she was keen in the chair and fought gamely to score, she can press forward to capitalise.

ROCK SUPREME (9) was asked to hang tough when parked here two starts back when fading in the closing stages as CHEETAH LODGE swept over the top. Taken back last start, he was last at the 400, making the task too great. Trailing through to secure a spot, he can make a closing challenge.

MISTER HART (3) was asked to face the breeze last start at Redcliffe over the sprint trip when finishing 6m from the winner. He can fire some early bullets here looking to be on the pointy end.

CHEDDAR MADE BETA (1) overcame gate 5 at Redcliffe last start when charging home down the outside to arrive for the prize. With all the options from the ace, he can feature.

SELECTIONS: CUSTOM NIKE (7), ROCK SUPREME (9), MISTER HART (3), CHEDDAR MADE BETA (1)
SUGGESTED BET: CUSTOM NIKE (7) to win

RACE SIX

Undefeated in two career starts, the task will be tougher here for TIL HEAVNS ROCKN (2) but he will be starting from an improved alley. Overcoming the second line at Redcliffe last start when first up, he proved too strong in an effortless 7m margin. He looks to have the class to make the rise.

THE WATERBOY (3) was chasing down a hat-trick last start when eased into the running line from gate 4 as GLENLEDI COMMANDER dictated in front. Issuing the closing raid to be just a half-head from away, he can look to get forward here to issue the challenge.

WHATABOYJACK (8) took on a 70Heat last start at Redcliffe where he burrowed through early before releasing the heat and then grabbing 3rd behind GELDOF. He will be probing off the cosy trip.

NICKS PICK (10) was eased to the fence from gate 3 last start and was trying to make late metres when 8m astern of MOLLIESMARYELLE. Beaten a similar margin the start prior, he has claims.

SELECTIONS: TIL HEAVNS ROCKN (2), THE WATERBOY (3), WHATABOYJACK (8), NICKS PICK (10)
SUGGESTED BET:  


 

RACE SEVEN

In great form since joining the Donny Smithy barn where he has 3 wins and 2 minors in 7 attempts, STORMTIDE (1) lands the gate to look for a repeat of his last outing. Taking them all the way when closing out in a sub 55 last half and holding a 6m margin, he can dictate the tune once again.

AMERICAN OUTLAW (5) was first up from a spell last time out when soon locked away three back on the poles. Finding space to work off between turns at the 300, he was out and chasing but just peaked late when 4m from ROLLYARRRZ. Tightened from that, he can throw down a challenge.

SAVING MAJOR PERCY (8) looks set to enjoy the right trip here to be pinching inside runs to the finish. 5m from KANYE CRUSADER two back when releasing, he can be probing for the gaps.

LUCKY NUTTER (10) was off the second line last start in a similar race and did not have the smoothest passage to the wire when 8m from MOLLIESMARYELLE. She is still in the mix.

SELECTIONS: STORMTIDE (1), AMERICAN OUTLAW (5), SAVING MAJOR PERCY (8), LUCKY NUTTER (10)
SUGGESTED BET: STORMTIDE (1) to win

RACE EIGHT

A first up winner four runs back, FAKE CULLECTION (2)
started from this same gate and worked home over the top to score. Bumping into the handy BOLD MEDLEY JUJON two back, she was strong to the line last time behind subsequent winner LOOKS JUST RIGHT with the improved gate a big plus.

SHEZ ALL STYLE (1) was looking to take them all the way last time out after pressing forward from gate 3. Grabbed in the closing strides by GOLDIES A DELIGHT, she scored in a mare’s qualifier two starts back when leading throughout. From the gate she will be throwing down the challenge.

ROCK HAMMER (5) was looming strongly last start until striking trouble which ended his day. Making a late dive for the silver behind CUSTOM NIKE two back, positioning cheaply will be key.

SUBSTITOOTH (6) will be second up in Qld after a midfield return first up from inside the second line. He gate does him no favours but with even luck he is a podium hope.


SELECTIONS: FAKE CULLECTION (2), SHEZ ALL STYLE (1), ROCK HAMMER (5), SUBSTITOOTH (6)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE NINE

At his best off a cheap peg trip, the set up looks optimal for BEEF CITY BLAZE (1) to capitalise. A winner here three starts back when locked away three back, he then chased hard when 3rd to the in-form STORMTIDE. Just 6m away last start when retreating from gate 5, this looks ideal.

HE SAID SHE SAID (3) was sent forward from gate 5 last time out to sit parked and despite the tough trip was in for the fight when holding 2nd behind VOODOO FELLA. Asked for too much the start prior outside TEDDY DISCO, he can force the issue here and throw it down in front.

WINDY HILL WALLY (9) takes his first look at The Creek after his nine starts since arriving in Qld have all been on The Triangle. A winner in three of those, he made nice metres last start and can join in.

STRONG RESPONSE (11) was grafting it out first over here two starts back when finishing within 2m of the winner STORMTIDE. A beaten fav last start, the gate makes it an ask here.
 
SELECTIONS:
BEEF CITY BLAZE (1), HE SAID SHE SAID (3), WINDY HILL WALLY (9), STRONG RESPONSE (11)
SUGGESTED BET: BEEF CITY BLAZE (1) to win