Form Analysis: Albion Park Feb 11

RACE ONE

An absolutely cracking contest looks to open the card where a genuine case could be made for every runner. BONNIE PRINCE LOUIS (4) looked to have it won last start until MANILA PLAYBOY unleashed a mind boggling close out to arrive. Taking them all the way from gate 5 here two back, he is up to it.

SO MUCH MORE (1) had the writing on the wall with a pair of smart runs since resuming from a break. Shut down after a qualifying win back in October, he returned with a passing lane 3^rd before getting within a head of the winner second up. Arriving in the last stride last time, he can challenge.

BETTERTHANAROCKET (10) was buried last week in a qualifier and looked to be in all sorts of bother. Finding space, he launched down the stretch for a sharp win. The tempo looks right for a repeat.

ROCKS OR DIAMONDS (2) will need to be forgiven for his last start where he was second up and trailed the field home. Runner-up when resuming, he can be handy enough to feature.

SELECTIONS: BONNIE PRINCE LOUIS (4), SO MUCH MORE (1), BETTERTHANAROCKET (10), ROCKS OR DIAMONDS (2)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE TWO

Tackling open company last start when resuming from a spell, SCARLET BABE (4) started from the second line and after settling rearward faced mission impossible as TOMMY LINCOLN controlled it in front through a sub 55 closing half. Tightened from that, back to this grade looks appealing.

MAKE MINE MEMPHIS (10) was sent forward from outside the second line last week to get handy and soon received 1x1 cover. Trying to launch a closing raid, he was 7m from the winner. Placed his previous three in succession, he can be throwing down the challenge here.

WARFARE (3) was runner-up last start after securing the 1x1 trail in the run and making a late raid to get within a half-head of the winner. Not far from TOMMY LINCOLN two back, he is in the fight.

JONAH JONES (8) has been in nice touch in recent weeks, hitting the board at his past three starts. Only 3m from LE TISSIER last start despite a chequered passage, he will be probing for openings.

SELECTIONS: SCARLET BABE (4), MAKE MINE MEMPHIS (10), WARFARE (3), JONAH JONES (8)
SUGGESTED BET: SCARLET BABE (4) to win

RACE THREE

A Menangle winner back in December when pressing on from outside the front line THE CROUPIER (7) was sent North with his first outing when parked and fading behind TOMMY LINCLOLN. Unable to get into the contest last start, this looks set up for him to be torched off the arm to dictate.

BETTOR JIGGLE (10) has been kept fresh since his first attempt in veteran’s company where he was sent to the post as fav and finished 3m from the airborne LE TISSIER. Not too far away from that same winner two starts back after facing gate 7, he can be issuing a closing challenge.

ROLL ONE OVER (1) started from this same gate last start and after being buried, was out and chasing up the passing lane for the bronze. Likely ticked away, he will be searching for gaps.

COMMODORE JUJON (8) was locked away three back on the poles here on Tuesday and when the gap opened, was charging home to get within a blister of the winner. A similar trip is likely, but he can rattle home again.

SELECTIONS: THE CROUPIER (7), BETTOR JIGGLE (10), ROLL ONE OVER (1), COMMODORE JUJON (8)
SUGGESTED BET: THE CROUPIER (7) to win

RACE FOUR

Having his first start in Qld for the season, SURF ACE (7) steps out chasing the hat-trick after successive Tamworth victories in sweeping the Golden Guitar. Opening the pipes with a trial where he was kept on the helmet of MANILA PLAYBOY, he can defy the wide gate for the threepeat.

CAPTAIN NEMO (6) was huge in defeat here four runs back and franked that performance with a victory at his next outing. Gunned down at his next attempt when pressing to the front from this same alley, put a line through his last start. He can get forward to throw it down.

TUAPEKA GLORY (8) did some early work before the cover arrived last start when down the line behind LE TISSIER. A passing lane winner here three back, he be coiled and ready to strike.

DELIGHTFUL REASON (2) was snookered for room when looking to make a charge two starts back and then last time grabbed 3^rd to MOLLIESMARYELLE. She has the hustle to feature.

SELECTIONS: SURF ACE (7), CAPTAIN NEMO (6), TUAPEKA GLORY (8), DELIGHTFUL REASON (2)
SUGGESTED BET: SURF ACE (7) to win

RACE FIVE

A winner in a second division qualifier three starts back, on that occasion BETTERTHAN POPSY (8) was powered up early to take control from gate 6 and see it out. The second line and TEDDY DISCO ended his chances at his next attempt. Mapped for a leader back trip, he can shott the gap.

UNCLE CHAN (2) was first up in Qld last time out where he eased from gate 5 to secure position but then could not go on with it over the closing stages. After a smart trial in preparation for that assignment, he can be handy enough to turn it around.

ROLLYARRRZ (3) has had a mixed bag since arriving in the Sunshine State, having no luck on a couple of occasions including last start when beaten a head. If he can slide across easily, he looms large.

MISTY CREEK (6) was trying to make a passing lane play last start when grabbing 4^th as BETTERTHANAROCKET launched down the outside. Never too far away, he can be chiming in.

SELECTIONS: BETTERTHAN POPSY (8), UNCLE CHAN (2), ROLLYARRRZ (3), MISTY CREEK (6)
SUGGESTED BET: BETTERTHAN POPSY (8) to win

RACE SIX

YEP GOT CHOOKS (1) has drawn tighter than gate 5 just once in his past 12 starts and on that occasion bumped into the smart SLIP THE HUNDY. He was sound last week chasing the flying STORMTIDE from the second line and the 2138 might ask a question, but he can answer it.

EVERYTHING HAPPENS (5) took the trail from gate 1 last start and was trying to launch a closing raid when beaten a head behind FLIGHT CREW. Catching the eye when hitting the line smartly the start prior, he rises in grade here but can be close enough to make a closing challenge.

CLASSIE WASHINGTON (6) was first up from a spell when tackling a strong qualifier last time out that was dominated by TEDDY DISCO. His form prior to a spell had been super and he can feature.

DHAULAGIRI (8) will be sweating on finding the passing lane with some momentum and if on a forward roll when it arrives, he can be ripping home to make a play.

SELECTIONS: YEP GOT CHOOKS (1), EVERYTHING HAPPENS (5), CLASSIE WASHINGTON (6), DHAULAGIRI (8)
SUGGESTED BET:  YEP GOT CHOOKS (1) to win

 

RACE SEVEN

His numbers might not be much but KEAYANG MARVEN (4) should appreciate a return to Band 5 company after tackling tougher battles at his past two. Forced to take on all comers last start behind TOMMY LINCOLN, he faded in front two back. This looks more suitable and he is worth a play in a tricky contest.

LITTLE BOLT (2) was fighting hard last start and was game when just 2m in arrears after sitting parked. Luckless here three starts back behind THREE RIVERS, he will be up near the action and if able to limit the work can will be there to throw it down.

CAPTAINS PICK (8) was game in defeat last start in a 70Heat at Redcliffe where he sat parked from gate 5 and fought hard for the silver. With the second line options he can feature.

MOLLIESMARYELLE (7) was large in victory last start, easing away from the poles to slide up and stare down the leader. Putting it away and fighting on to hold a narrow victory, she might need to work

SELECTIONS: KEAYANG MARVEN (4), LITTLE BOLT (2), CAPTAINS PICK (8), MOLLIESMARYELLE (7)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE EIGHT

This looks an open mare’s event with those drawn tight all looking to recapture some form. That should be the ideal set up for FLIGHT CREW (7) to get forward, a position she has been able to win 2 of her past 4 from. Grafting out a smart win last start that has been franked by the form, she can arrive.

A WHOLE LOTTA ROSIE (6) covered plenty of track here two starts back and faded under the toll as SHEZ ALL STYLE controlled it from the front. Sent to sit parked last start, she was grafting it out when 5m from the winner and despite a wide gate, finds the right type of event to issue a challenge.

JAZIAH (10) has maintained her form since winning at her last appearance of 2022, with a top-three in all four starts this term, the past three all in this grade from the second line. She can be joining in.

WONDERWOMAN JUJON (9) eased to the poles last start after having an early look and from there was 7m from the winner ALLAMBIE. Collared in the closing strides two starts back, she has claims.

SELECTIONS:  FLIGHT CREW (7), A WHOLE LOTTA ROSIE (6), JAZIAH (10), WONDERWOMAN JUJON (9)
SUGGESTED BET: FLIGHT CREW (7) to win

RACE NINE

Stepping out for his first outing of the season, MACH DA VINCI (1) comes into this following a last start 2^nd when the victim of a first over crush at the 2680 at the hooves of BLACKSADANCE. A winner of the Lord Mayors Cup the start prior at this trip when taking them all the way, he might be giving away some fitness fresh up but the gate advantage and options appeal.

BLACKSADANCE (2) rolled around from outside the second line here last week and threw down the heat threw a sizzling 26.7 third panel outside TOMMY LINCOLN. Feeling the pinch turning for home, he had to settle for the bronze when 5m away. A winner of his previous two, the work load will be critical to his hopes.

GOVERNOR JUJON (6) there is nowhere to hide for a 120 rater returning from a spell, but it is made even tougher for the former star juvenile who has had 12 months off the scene. With a pair of tidy trials, he will be looking to get through unscathed fresh up.

SELECTIONS: MACH DA VINCI (1), BLACKSADANCE (2), GOVERNOR JUJON (6)
SUGGESTED BET: MACH DA VINCI (1) to win

RACE TEN

Tackling a mare’s qualifier here last week,  VINDICATE (7) made an error at first attempt before the second take darted through and was looking to see it out, only to be collared in the closing stages by ALLAMBIE. Despite the wide gate, she can force the issue here to see it out.

GOLDIES A DELIGHT (6) can be a hard mare to follow, but at her best this would be well within her grasp. Buried in the run two starts back, she owned the best closing power last start to nab SHEZ ALL STYLE on the wire. The wide gate hurts her hopes, but she is right in it.

MISS MIA (3) has been runner-up at her past two starts and from this alley will be settling handy to the action. Just a half-neck away last start, she can be thereabouts again here.

FLY CHEVAL (1) faces a stern rise in grade for this assignment, but she comes into the battle in form and off the back of a huge win last start. With the right trail, she can be filling the minors.

SELECTIONS: VINDICATE (7), GOLDIES A DELIGHT (6), MISS MIA (3), FLY CHEVAL (1)
SUGGESTED BET: VINDICATE (7) to win