Form Analysis: Marburg Feb 23

RACE ONE

MYSTICAL CHARM (4) pressed forward from gate 4 to take control last start over the Redcliffe 1780 but could not finish them off when fading to a 10m 4^th behind SUNRISE RUBY. Runner-up at her previous four in succession, she can get forward to open the account.

SKYLAR BREE (8) should appreciate a return to maiden company after her past two have been in more experienced line ups at The Creek. Chasing the big winner WHERES OUR MONEY last start, her effort behind NAKULA three back was solid and despite the second line she can challenge.

THEBEACHISONFIRE (1) is an Irish import that makes his first race appearance as a 5YO for Darren McCall. Showing good speed of the arm at the trials, he has the gate to feature first up.

SPICE BOY (2) darted through from gate 1 last start when looking to take them all the way, but was collared in the last strides to be a half-neck away. From the good alley he can feature again here.

SELECTIONS: MYSTICAL CHARM (4), SKYLAR BREE (8), THEBEACHISONFIRE (1), SPICE BOY (2)
SUGGESTED BET: MYSTICAL CHARM (4) to win

RACE TWO

LORD DENZEL (8) was beaten by gate 7 last start at headquarters when taken back early to find the poles and then was never as factor as WHERES OUR MONEY blitzed them to claim a big victory. Backing up from a 3^rd on Monday night, with the right trip this is well within reach.

DONT YOUBE NAUGHTY (2) faded badly last start to be at the rear of the pack and the start prior struck trouble that ended her night. With good early hustle, she can find the poles here and from the front, might just give enough cheek to issue a challenge.

MUSTANG DUDE (7) would be better suited if finding a front-line gate, but he can still press through in the early stages from this alley. Runner-up two starts back when collared late, he can feature.

SURFER JOE (5) has no favours from outside the front line as he chases what is proving to be an elusive maiden breaking victory. Positioning cheaply will be key to his podium hopes.

SELECTIONS: LORD DENZEL (8), DONT YOUBE NAUGHTY (2), MUSTANG DUDE (7), SURFER JOE (5)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE THREE

WATERLINE (9) returns from a spell to start her 3YO term following her first season of racing where she hit the board in 4 of 5 appearances. The only miss came in the Triad Final when finishing down the line behind JEWEL MELODY. Off the back of a steady trial, she finds the ideal first up assignment.

YARRAMAN NEEDY (4) has two previous appearances on this track for no return but did only break the maiden tag two starts back when taking them all the way over the Redcliffe 1780. Not suited when working from gate 5 last start, limiting the early burn will be key to his hopes.

STAR OF THE ARTS (8) was runner-up last start to JILLIBY TYPHOON after firing off the arm before taking cover and then only an eyelash short of victory. She is a podium player again in this.

OUTER CHANGE (6) will require a slice of luck from this alley as she looks in danger of being snookered in the run. Asked to work hard first over last start, she will be searching for gaps.

SELECTIONS: WATERLINE (9), YARRAMAN NEEDY (4), STAR OF THE ARTS (8), OUTER CHANGE (6)
SUGGESTED BET: WATERLINE (9) to win

RACE FOUR

TULHURST CUDDLES (4) faced gate 6 over the Redcliffe sprint last start where she was stuck looking for position before retreating to the rear and never a factor thereafter. A wide gate was her undoing the start prior over the AP mile and back to this deck where her record is smart, she can capitalise.

WHATA REACTOR (3) was a Redcliffe winner four starts back when settled in the pocket trail from inside the second line and making the closing shot a winner. A flat tyre made the task even tougher at HQ at her next start. With the speed to get across, the only concern is her poor Marburg record.

MY ULTIMATE HESTON (8) is still chasing a first win here at the Little M where he has placed in 5 of his 14 appearances. Forced to hang tough first over last start at Redcliffe, he can be chiming in.

DALLAS COWGIRL (6) will be needing some favours at some point as she faces the lock and key treatment against the poles here. Probing for openings, she can chime in if a gap should open.

SELECTIONS: TULHURST CUDDLES (4), WHATA REACTOR (3), MY ULTIMATE HESTON (8), DALLAS COWGIRL (6),
SUGGESTED BET: TULHURST CUDDLES (4) to win

RACE FIVE

RANCHO MAN (7) was sent to sit parked last start over the AP mile and was game when holding on for the bronze in sharp time as WHERES OUR MONEY controlled it in front. Runner-up two starts back when doing some early work, the gate is not ideal, but he looks up to the task.

UNDERTHEKILT (1) has been thereabouts in recent outings, grabbing some minor money in three of his past four outings. Chasing from the trail behind PAGO PAGO last start when grabbing the silver, he was under 2m from the winner three starts back after a tough trip and has the gate to challenge.

OUR DOLLY (4) has been racing in nice touch, her latest effort a tough 2^nd when sent to sit parked from gate 5 and after looming up was collared near the line by TORQUE WRITER. She can feature.

MAFFIOSO GIRL (8) has a top record on this track where she has hit the board at a 75% strike rate, which includes five wins. Beaten by a wide gate last start over the AP mile, she can chime in.

SELECTIONS: RANCHO MAN (7), UNDERTHEKILT (1), OUR DOLLY (4), MAFFIOSO GIRL (8)
SUGGESTED BET: RANCHO MAN (7) to win

RACE SIX

TEACHERS PET (2) was a winner four runs back when darting through from gate 1 to take them all the way, posting an 8m margin on the line. Placed at her next two, she tackled a second division mare’s qualifier last time when beaten by gate 5. Taking control here, she can see it out.

PAGO PAGO (1) was a Redcliffe winner two starts back when firing out to take control and see it out. Runner-up last time when making ground behind WHERES OUR MONEY, he looks set to secure the ideal trip here and be looking for a way clear.

ROCKNROLL DA GAMA (7) grabbed the bronze last start over the AP 2138m trip when burrowing through chasing PEBBLE SANDS. With the  right trail through early, he can be in the mix.

STUDLEIGH SONNY (8) stuck to the inside last time when grabbing the silver and with the right trail can look to make a play for the money.

SELECTIONS: TEACHERS PET (2), PAGO PAGO (1), ROCKNROLL DA GAMA (7), STUDLEIGH SONNY (8)
SUGGESTED BET:  TEACHERS PET (2) to win

 

RACE SEVEN

SQUARE DEALER (2) faced gate 6 last start and was wide off the track when hitting the line in smart order when 6m from ALLMIGHTY MAX who dictated. Buried in the run when 5m from BURNS BAY who scorched the oval in a sub 54 mile. He can be handy enough to capitalise.

WOODLEA DIEGO (1) has a top record on this track where he has won three of his four attempts. Luckless last start when searching for a gap that did not open, he found his stablemate MOLLIESMARYELLE too slippery the start prior. From the ace, he gets every chance.

CONGO LINE (7) takes his first look here at Marburg after a last start 5^th when under 3m from BONNIE PRINCE LOUIS. Too smart the start prior in the Members Cup, he can feature fresh.

TINGE OF FEAR (6) needs some luck here where she looks set to be snookered in the run. A chequered passage hurt last start which had followed a mare’s victory and she will be probing.

SELECTIONS: SQUARE DEALER (2), CONGO LINE (7), WOODLEA DIEGO (1), TINGE OF FEAR (6)
SUGGESTED BET: SQUARE DEALER (2) to win

RACE EIGHT

STUDLEIGH MARK (1) was beaten by the second line over the AP 2138 last start when unable to get warm over the closing stages. Chasing in vain as SUBSTITOOTH put them away the start prior, he gets the gate to use his early hustle and on a track where he has a great record, gets his chance to dictate.

SHEREACTS (2) is three from four on this deck and comes into this as the runner-up in two of her past three. Darting across from gate 3 to set the speed two starts back when collared in the last stride, she has been freshened and can feature fresh.


LAST TIME JOE (5) was runner-up at his first Qld appearance behind BRONSKI DELIGHT before finishing 5m away second up. Capitalising on a big class drop last start for an effortless win, he cops a tough gate here.

COURAGEOUS SAM (7) has placed at his past four in succession, the latest when chasing for the silver behind MONTANA EXPRESS. Beaten a lip two starts back by MULLUM GUIDO, he can be chiming in.

SELECTIONS:  STUDLEIGH MARK (1), SHEREACTS (2), LAST TIME JOE (5), COURAGEOUS SAM (7)
SUGGESTED BET: STUDLEIGH MARK (1) to win