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Form Analysis: Redcliffe Jul 13

13 July 2023

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RACE ONE

MILLIE FRANCIS (9) was first up in 12 months here two runs back when powering home over the top of them in the closing stages, pulling clear to post a 10m margin. Runner-up behind ZOOM PARTY last start, the gate is not ideal, but she finds the right opposition to capitalise.

SUBLTE CHAY (2) will strip fitter from his last appearance where he resumed from a spell. Taken back early from a wide gate and then never in the mix, he can get forward here and from the front issue a challenge.

CHAKANA (4) was eased from gate 5 last start to settle rearward and never warmed up over the closing stages. With early speed, she can get closer to make a podium play.

MAGIC NITRO (6) has no favours from the outside paint, but this looks an open contest and many of these will be pressing for a minor. Not too far away last start, she can feature.

SELECTIONS: MILLIE FRANCIS (9), SUBLTE CHAY (2), CHAKANA (4), MAGIC NITRO (6)
SUGGESTED BET: MILLIE FRANCIS (9) to win

RACE THREE

BRAEVIEW FELLA (4)
was sent forward from gate 5 here two runs back and after the tough trip sitting parked, held on for the silver when 5m astern of the winner. 2m from the winner BLACKJACK BETH after an equally starchy effort over the AP mile, he finds the set up here to capitalise.

AWAYOVERNIGHT (7) was sent forward from gate 5 here two runs back and after finding the front was able to se it out to claim his seventh victory on this deck. 3rd at Marburg on Sunday from behind the speed, he will be hoping the gap arrives in time to issue the challenge.

MORETTA (1) has the gate to settle prominently here and with the available options will get her chance to finish in the money.

RISKY BUZINESS (5) has two wins from his past three starts, the latest when settled in the 1x1 trail here last time out and able to descend on them to take the prize. The gate makes it a little tougher.

SELECTIONS: BRAEVIEW FELLA (4), AWAYOVERNIGHT (7), MORETTA (1), RISKY BUZINESS (5)
SUGGESTED BET: BRAEVIEW FELLA (4) to win

RACE FOUR

BETTER SHUSH (8) arrives from NSW for Josh Turnbull and brings strong form lines to a race like this. Just 1m from the winner at Dubbo two starts back in an up to 58 Heat, he then went to Menangle and held 3rd in the final when 2m from the winner. Back to his grade looks ideal.

JOHN WAYNE (6) is first up in Aus after arriving to join the Colin Godden team from the North Island of NZ. A Cambridge winner over 2200 two starts back, he is given no favours from the wide gate first up but looks to have the credentials to be a player here fresh.

DOC JUJON (2) was chasing a hat-trick of victories last start at HQ where he was snagged off the arm from gate 6 and left back in the pack as FRANKIE FEROCIOUS scored. Back to this grade helps.

MULLUM BOY (3) was midfield behind NAKULA last start after facing the second line over the sprint trip. He can settle handy to the action and grab some minor money here.

SELECTIONS: BETTER SHUSH (8), JOHN WAYNE (6), DOC JUJON (2), MULLUM BOY (3)
SUGGESTED BET: BETTER SHUSH (8) to win

RACE FIVE

PURPLE SHADES (1)
will require some factors in his favour from this gate, but with the right trail in behind the action will be ready to take his shot when the gap presents. Snagged back from gate 5 when down the line behind subsequent winner ALWAYS SMOKIN, he can snipe them here.

TOMMY BLIGH (4) has been a model of consistency in recent appearances, placing in his past five in succession. Holding 3rd last start when he just couldn’t pick up along the passing lane behind TULHURST CUDDLES, he can be issuing a closing challenge in this contest.

HIGH ON MONTANA (8) was midfield in the Western Star at Marburg behind ALWAYS SMOKIN on Sunday after being crossed from gate 1. Pressing through, this looks more suitable.

DOOLITTLE DOOZZIE (7) fired off the arm to lead at Marburg last start and from the front was able to see it out with a 3m margin. Likely tucked away here, she can be searching for gaps to offer.

SELECTIONS: PURPLE SHADES (1), TOMMY BLIGH (4), HIGH ON MONTANA (8), DOOLITTLE DOOZZIE (7)
SUGGESTED BET: PURPLE SHADES (1) to win

RACE SIX

KELLY LOUISE (1)
made the most of gate 3 to slide across and take up the running here three starts back and from the front held a 4m margin to make it 3 from 3 on this deck. Strong to the line here two back when beaten a neck, she was luckless last start and gets her chance to bounce back in this.

NOT THE KINGSWOOD (7) chased home from the second line at Marburg last start in nice fashion to grab the silver. Making nice metres here two runs back, he will be fitter again after three runs from a spell and with the soft trip stalking the speed here can be ready to accelerate in the stretch.

TULHURST CUDDLES (9) is chasing down a hat-trick of victories after successive wins from the second line on this deck. This will be a little tougher, but she is up to the task.

JILLIBY TYPHOON (3) was strong to the line from deep field here two starts back when just a half-neck from the winner DREAMERS DELIGHT. Settling handy to the action can see her in the mix.

SELECTIONS: KELLY LOUISE (1), NOT THE KINGSWOOD (7), TULHURST CUDDLES (9), JILLIBY TYPHOON (3)
SUGGESTED BET:  Exotics 1-3-7-9


 


RACE SEVEN

SMIRKS LIKA BOSS (2)
was first up back in Qld last time out when sent straight to the front from gate 1 and once in control was never in danger with an effortless victory. He can force the pressure again to take control here and from the front will take some running down.

FAST TRACKER (4) is chasing a hat-trick of wins after claiming a 2040 victory here two runs back before taking a qualifier last start over the 2138 trip when darting through on the passing lane. Settling handy without over working it early can see him make a play for the prize.

PRESS STATEMENT (1) was shuffled to three back along the inside from this gate last start when just out of the money behind CAPTAINS PICK. Just 3m away two runs back, he can be thereabouts.

ALEXIA ROSE (7) does her best work out in front and will not have that luxury here as she looks in danger of being buried. Taking them all the way here last start, she will be probing.

SELECTIONS: SMIRKS LIKA BOSS (2), FAST TRACKER (4), PRESS STATEMENT (1), ALEXIA ROSE (7)
SUGGESTED BET: SMIRKS LIKA BOSS (2) to win

RACE EIGHT

MUSIC MOTH (3)
was chasing down a hat-trick last time out when tackling the AP mile. Sent forward, she was exposed early before receiving cover and finishing 8m astern of AMAMI. From this gate she can force the issue to get across and from the front can stake a claim.

LOCHART SHARD (2) angled to the poles form the second line two runs back and was 4m from the winner in grabbing 3rd behind MACARENA MADI. Beaten by gate 6 last start, he can fire out early here and with the options thereafter be in position to throw down the challenge.

SHADYS CULLECT (1) was a winner at the 2040 trip two runs back when powering home over the top of them in the closing stages. A tough 2nd at Marburg last start, she has the gate to feature.

MISSTREPO (7) was runner-up here last start when making late ground behind VANITY BAY. Likely to be tucked away and awaiting some gaps, she can grab a late minor.

SELECTIONS: MUSIC MOTH (3), LOCHART SHARD (2), SHADYS CULLECT (1), MISSTREPO (7)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE NINE

PARTY POLOTIX (7)
was taken back last start and from deep field could not get warm as SMIRKS LIKA BOSSS controlled it in front. Just outside the money the start prior from outside the second line, she maps for the soft trip here and saved for the last shot, can dart through to take the prize.

NINETEENTHIRTYFOUR (1) tried to see it out in front last start over the 2040 but wilted late as the odds-on fav. A return to the mile is in her favour after tackling the 2138 two runs back and this looks her chance to issue a challenge.

LULU LUCIFER (8) was eased from gate 5 last time out to settle near the rear and did not have the smoothest run in transit. 3m away over the AP mile two runs back, she can be chiming in here.

MERGE RIGHT (3) settled int eh 1x1 trail last time out and loomed up to make a closing play when runner-up to LITTLELIONELJAMES. Settling handy can see her feature.

SELECTIONS: PARTY POLOTIX (7), NINETEENTHIRTYFOUR (1), LULU LUCIFER (8), MERGE RIGHT (3)
SUGGESTED BET: PARTY POLOTIX (7) to win

RACE TEN

STOMPEM (7) will be relying on some factors in his favour from this gate, but if securing the right trip behind the speed, will be ready to issue the closing raid. Strong to the line wide off the track last start when 2nd to the dictating JILLIBY CHAMBERS, he will be ready to snipe.

BETTYS LASS (2) was runner-up here two starts back from the second line after making a strong run over the closing stages to be just a whisker short of victory. 2m from RACY ROXY in a mare’s qualifier two starts back, she has the early hustle but does have some queries over the middle trip.

MIDNIGHT SOMEWHERE (8) had his chances ended last start when striking trouble and finishing out of the money. Runner-up in nice fashion three runs back, he can be charging home to feature.

ROYAL PRINCESS (1) comes up with the gate to make her play after not being helped by the outside second line last start. A winner three runs back after doing it tough, she lands all the options here.


SELECTIONS: STOMPEM (7), BETTYS LASS (2), MIDNIGHT SOMEWHERE (8), ROYAL PRINCESS (1)
SUGGESTED BET: MIDNIGHT SOMEWHERE (8) each-way