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Form Analysis: Albion Park Feb 27

27 February 2024

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RACE ONE

Just the small field of square gaiters to open the card where MY ULTIMATE EDDIE (3) looks much better suited from 10m after facing 30m in the McNeil Series. Bundled out of that with an error and a stand down, he earns the return off a smart trial and can cash in off the 10m.

NORTIE NORTIE (5) started from this same mark last start over the 13-furlong trip and was making late metres over the closing stages for 2nd behind ITSALLANDOVER. A winner under mobile conditions four starts back, he can overcome the 30m to issue a challenge.

INSTANT DELIGHT (2) returns from a spell after a last start 3rd when finishing 6m from the winner NOT AS PROMISED over the long trip. Overcoming a 30m impost two starts back, she can settle handy to feature fresh.
 

SELECTIONS: MY ULTIMATE EDDIE (3), NORTIE NORTIE (5), INSTANT DELIGHT (2)
SUGGESTED BET: MY ULTIMATE EDDIE (3) to win

RACE TWO

Returning from a spell here last week, GET USED TO IT (8) was safely away from the 10m tape and was able to find the front before releasing when the pressure came. Eased into space, he was in his own league when pulling clear to a 40m margin. With added fitness, he can repeat.

KYVALLEY ARCHER (3) is a newcomer to Qld that joins the Tess Neaves team. A last start Terang winner when sprinting smartly once finding open space, he tackles the standing start for the first time, but from the front tape, finds the right conditions to challenge fresh.

ITSARAPT (12) made an error in the early stages last start and then was luckless to the line when missing the money. Needing a safe start, he can be thereabouts.

HEAD EM UP (10) was all at sea off the front tape when making his Aus debut last time out. Arriving a last start Group winner in NZ, back off a mark with horses in front might just help gain a better start.

SELECTIONS: GET USED TO IT (8), KYVALLEY ARCHER (3), ITSARAPT (12), HEAD EM UP (10)
SUGGESTED BET: GET USED TO IT (8) to win

RACE THREE

Placed in her past four in succession, SHEZ GOT BLING (2) should be first to the poles here and will then have the options thereafter. 3m away last start from the trail as DOLLARBILL arrived, she has been a beaten fav at her past two but can gain redemption here.

WILLIEWA LIGHTNING (7) has had his share of problems in recent starts, the latest when making a gate break and consequently being given the ODM embargo. Runner-up in this grade when charging off the arm from gate 6 and beaten a head two back, he can throw it down here.

LANCELOT BROMAC (1) chalked up another milestone last start when surpassing $400k in stake earnings when grabbing 2nd. He will be shuffled back early but working home late.

JET FORCE (8) resumes from a spell after his last start 2nd when 3m from the winner after facing an outside second line gate at Redcliffe. A soft trip first up appeals and he can gran a minor.
 

SELECTIONS: SHEZ GOT BLING (2), WILLIEWA LIGHTNING (7), LANCELOT BROMAC (1), JET FORCE (8)
SUGGESTED BET: SHEZ GOT BLING (2) to win

RACE FOUR

A poor conversion rate here on the big deck will be put to the test for CHEDDAR MADE BETA (4) with some of the main players drawn wider or off the second line. Overcoming the outside front line at Redcliffe last start with a smart win, he was only beaten a head here five back and gets the chance to capitalise.

SHEZ ALL STYLE (9) found the ideal conditions here last start and pressing through from the second line was able to outstay them from the chair to claim a 3m margin. Building to that after a pair of placings, the middle trip suits and despite tricky gate, she is up to repeating.

TORQUE TO THE MUSIC (11) was second up from a spell last week when drawn wide off the front line. Making some closing metres as a beaten fav, he can be tracking into this to feature.

CHARLIE CHUCKLES (7) has been in the money at three of his past four starts, the latest when making good metres in the closing strides on Friday when 3rd. He can defy the gate to chime in.

SELECTIONS: CHEDDAR MADE BETA (4), SHEZ ALL STYLE (9), TORQUE TO THE MUSIC (11), CHARLIE CHUCKLES (7)
SUGGESTED BET: SHEZ ALL STYLE (9) to place

RACE FIVE

Another open contest where the 2138 will sort a few runners out but should be no issue for DOLLARBILL (7) who brings two wins from his past three to the consideration table. Finishing over the top of them last week, he can work if needed and is up to the task in this line up.

TOBEFAIRTOYOU (9) resumes from a let up after her last appearance at Menangle when down the line behind MONTEFIORE. Placed in two of her five here at HQ, she blew the cobwebs out in a trial last week and with the right trail in the middle stages, can look to challenge.

BIG BOZZ (11) was second up from a spell last start when settling back in the pack from a second line gate and then using inside runs for 3rd. His first look at the 2138 is the query.

KULANI COURAGE (6) was a winner here at the mile four runs back when sent forward from the second line to work in the run. Unplaced his next two, the gate makes it a tough ask here.

SELECTIONS: DOLLARBILL (7), TOBEFAIRTOYOU (9), BIG BOZZ (11), KULANI COURAGE (6)
SUGGESTED BET: DOLLARBILL (7) to win

RACE SIX

Needing some factors in his favour from the outside paint, NICKS PICK (7) will be hoping the tempo suits for a swooping finish. Completing a hat-trick of victories two starts back where he overcame this same gate, he as luckless last start from inside the second line. He is up to this.

LUVBITE (8) was well supported here last week from gate 2 where he was fired off the arm and tried to take them all the way. Collared in the last strides by LOUTENANT, it followed a tough tip when parked from gate 7 and with the economical trip this time, will be searching for a way clear.

PLAYA BLANCA (5) has been super consistent in recent outings, the latest when overcoming gate 7 to hold on for the silver behind JACCKA WALLY. She is a podium player once again.

JILLIBY JACKPOT (2) was put into the contest from outside the second line last start and despite the tough trip was able to grip on for the bronze. An improved alley is a big plus.

SELECTIONS: NICKS PICK (7), LUVBITE (8), PLAYA BLANCA (5), JILLIBY JACKPOT (2)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE SEVEN

Tackling Saturday night company last start, it all went pear-shaped for STORMTIDE (1) when striking trouble where his chances expired. Regathering, it was a smart effort thereafter considering the circumstances and only beaten a neck in this grade two back, he can cash in.

FIRESTORM RED (7) is afforded no favours from the outside gate but his three efforts since arriving in Qld have been full of merit. Best of the chasing pack behind SEND IT last start, he was just behind the placings the start prior. He can defy the gate to throw down the challenge.

ROCKS OR DIAMONDS (6) will take good benefit from his latest appearance when resuming from a spell to tackle this grade for the first time. Holding 3rd, he can be thereabouts again.

TAIRLAW TOLL (8) was first up from a break last start when back in the pack and never a factor as SEND IT arrived. With a nice trial since that win, he will be searching for openings.

SELECTIONS: STORMTIDE (1), FIRESTORM RED (7), ROCKS OR DIAMONDS (6), TAIRLAW TOLL (8)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-6-7-8

RACE EIGHT

An open race to close the card with several winning hopes. MAJOR MONDO (3) faded last start after being forced to sit parked in good time over the Redcliffe sprint. A similar trip present two starts back from outside the front line and limiting the burn, this is within reach.

KEAYANG TARA (4) has been chipping away in consistent order in recent outings, the latest when runner-up to FOUR STAR LINCOLN. Beaten a similar margin and again when 2nd two starts back, it followed a nice win from gate 7 here three back and she can challenge again here.

ARCHILLES (8) secured the ideal trip in behind the speed last start after finding the trail from gate 5 and when the passing lane arrived, he darted through to score. He will be probing.

RUBINI (2) was a Marburg winner three starts back when powering home from back in the pack to claim a smart 2m margin. Luckless in two runs since, he finds conditions to chime in.

SELECTIONS: MAJOR MONDO (3), KEAYANG TARA (4), ARCHILLES (8), RUBINI (2)
SUGGESTED BET: MAJOR MONDO (3) to win