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Form Analysis: Albion Park May 16

16 May 2024

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RACE ONE

A mixed maiden to open a rare Thursday from The Creek where CAPTAIN BART (3) might just have found the conditions to arrive. Runner-up last start behind BROOKFIELDS BEAUTY, he was runner-up on debut behind REDS ABLAZE. This looks well within his reach.

WHERE THE BOYS ARE (10) was first up in Qld last start when making a mess of things early and ending all chance as the red figure fav. Luckless thereafter when trying to make some ground, if she can get it right, she can issue a challenge.

DENIS THE PUNTER (2) has the race experience to call on after 28 previous attempts at getting a W on the board. Runner-up two starts back at Marburg, he can be in the mix from this gate.

ULTIMATE ARK (1) is an Ohoka Punter 2YO on debut for Grant Dixon that has trialled in sound order and lands the right gate to feature.

SELECTIONS: CAPTAIN BART (3), WHERE THE BOYS ARE (10), DENIS THE PUNTER (2), ULTIMATE ARK (1)
SUGGESTED BET: CAPTAIN BART (3) to win

RACE TWO

MACH CHARM (4)
pressed forward last start and was able to find the front but then caught flat by a mid-race move. From the trail thereafter she was able to hold on for the silver behind CONVINCED. With the right trip, she can look to finish this field off.

HIGHLY RESPECTED (8) struck trouble last start at Redcliffe to end her chances when down the line. Runner-up in all three prior starts, including a tidy effort on this deck when under 2m from the winner. Just needing some factors in her favour from this gate to challenge.

LETS GET SHORTY (1) eased for position last start and from the running line was in the second half of the pack behind CONVINCED. Runner-up here two back from this gate, he is in the mix.

SHEZ GOT BLING (5) was working home wide out at Redcliffe last start when grabbing the bronze. Just a head away here three starts back, she can be chiming in late in this.

SELECTIONS: MACH CHARM (4), HIGHLY RESPECTED (8), LETS GET SHORTY (1), SHEZ GOT BLING (5)
SUGGESTED BET: MACH CHARM (4) to win

RACE THREE

A tricky race here but one that should generate some good early heat for this grade. MULLUM HANK (10) will be suited if that does eventuate, and he may secure the right cart home. Runner-up to the impressive BIRKIRKARA last start, he finds the right race to capitalise.

MUSIC MOTH (1) was asked to grind it out for the one lap blitz at Redcliffe last start and was just 1m from the winner MAYWYN BONTON BOY. Holding on for 3rd here three starts back from this gate, she is slick off the arm and gets her chance to throw it down.

ROYAL PRINCESS (4) secured the ideal trip in the trail here last start and was able to hold on for the silver behind ETERNAL GOLD. A Redcliffe winner four back, her won conversion here is a concern.

ARTS PEREGRINE (9) tackled a Trot Rods scamper two starts back when grabbing the bronze and then last start was sent out as fav when missing the money. The right trail will help here.

SELECTIONS: MULLUM HANK (10), MUSIC MOTH (1), ROYAL PRINCESS (4), ARTS PEREGRINE (9)
SUGGESTED BET: MULLUM HANK (10) to win

RACE FOUR

Buried in the run last start at Redcliffe, ROCKSLIDE (3) was strong to the line in the closing stages to grab 2nd behind REASON TO BE which cleared out for a big win. With most of his recent racing on The Triangle, he finds the right opponents to tackle in this contest.

SHEREACTS (7) has been a model of consistency but has been unable to land a winning blow. Placed her past six in succession, she has been costly, going under as the fav in her past four in succession, despite never being that far from the winner. She can challenge again.

COSMIC FLYER (9) was resuming from a spell last start and sent to the post as fav, never really got warm in finishing near the rear. He can look to turn it around here.

STUDLEIGH MARK (2) was resuming from a spell last start when runner-up at Marburg from inside the second line. With early speed, he can feature.

SELECTIONS: ROCKSLIDE (3), SHEREACTS (7), COSMIC FLYER (9), STUDLEIGH MARK (2)
SUGGESTED BET: ROCKSLIDE (3) to win

RACE FIVE

Returning from a spell to start his 3YO term in fine style, CONVINCED (5) is staring down a hat-trick of victories. Overcoming the second line last start when set alight in the middle stages to take control, he finds opposition no harder to grab the threepeat.

BLISSFULL IDENTITY (6) takes his first look at The Creek after racing in good touch around Redcliffe in recent outings. Taking them all the way over the 1780 two starts back, he was asked to graft it out first over last start when holding on for 2nd. He can throw it down again here.

ON DA NOD (7) is another taking his first look at the big deck and might just appreciate the wider expanses that it offers. Strong to the line last start, he can defy the gate to feature.
 
CHARLIE CHUCKLES (10) made a strong move from the 600 last start to loom up and was giving to the wire when just a half-neck away. He can be joining in again.

SELECTIONS: CONVINCED (5), BLISSFULL IDENTITY (6), ON DA NOD (7), CHARLIE CHUCKLES (10)
SUGGESTED BET: CONVINCED (5) to win

RACE SIX

The 2138 might find a few of these out but one that should not be too worried by the middle trip is TORQUE TOTHE MUSIC (9). A winner here two starts back when sent around them from the second line to sit parked and grind out the win, he is up to the task of repeating that here.

QUIK CHANGE (5) was taking his first look over this trip last time out when locked in the pocket trail from the inside second line. Darting through to arrive when the gap presented, he will be wider at some point from this gate, but with some winning confidence can look to challenge.

MISTER JONES (11) is a newcomer to Qld that joins the Steve Cini barn. With three wins from just 10 starts, a change of scenery might just be what he needs.

ETERNAL GOLD (8) found the right conditions last start when sent around from the second line to sit parked and pull clear to a 4m margin. He will be probing for the gaps here.

SELECTIONS: TORQUE TOTHE MUSIC (9), QUIK CHANGE (5), MISTER JONES (11), ETERNAL GOLD (8)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE SEVEN

Fitter again after his second run back from a spell, MULLUM AXEL (9) will be looking to secure the right trail in the early stages. Strong to the line last start over the middle trip behind TORQUE TOTHE MUSIC, he can be powering home over the top.

BROOKFIELDS BEAUTY (4) got the monkey off the back last start when proving too classy for her opponents in claiming a gritty victory when sitting parked and posting an 11m margin. Runner-up her previous three in succession, she can get handy to throw down the challenge.

EMPRESS BYELINE (7) is afforded no favours from this gate but can look to slot in the running line. Closing it out in nice style last start, she can be thereabouts.

SYNCHRONIZER (2) has good early hustle and from this gate should find the right position to feature after her effort here two starts back when 2nd.

SELECTIONS: MULLUM AXEL (9), BROOKFIELDS BEAUTY (4), EMPRESS BYELINE (7), SYNCHRONIZER (2)
SUGGESTED BET: MULLUM AXEL (9) to win

RACE EIGHT

Beaten by gate 7 last start when showing some early hustle, ART JESTER (10) was out of tokens over the closing stages as ELLIS STREET dictated. Working home strongly here two starts back when runner-up to the handy REGAZZO DI TILLY, tempo will help his chance to capitalise.

MASTER CHARLES (1) found the poles and took cover from gate three last start and with the perfect trail trip was able to dart through on the passing lane to score. A winner at four of his past six starts, he secures the ideal gate to issue the challenge.

BETTING ORIGIN (4) was snookered on the fence last start when 6m from FREE THINKER which carved it out in front. He can get forward to feature in this line up.

ELOUISA DALE (8) will be securing the economical trip against the poles and just needs the space in the closing stages to make a podium play.

SELECTIONS: ART JESTER (10), MASTER CHARLES (1), BETTING ORIGIN (4), ELOUISA DALE (8)
SUGGESTED BET: ART JESTER (10) to win

RACE NINE

Third up from a spell last time out, REGAZZO DI TILLY (10) was sent forward to get to the leaders’ wheel and was able to deliver a starchy performance in grinding out a 1m margin. A beaten fav two starts back when 5m from CONGO LINE after copping gate 7, he can capitalise in a strong contest.

CONGO LINE (6) has bene in super order since returning from a spell for Matt Elkins and is in search of the hat-trick. Darting up the passing lane at his return to score, he was set alight at the 650 last start and charged hard and pulled clear for a stylish win. The threepeat is within reach.

WE ALWAYS HAVE FAITH (3) had his chances expire with an error last start which followed a tough trip when parked outside BOBBY WATERHOUSE. With the right trip he can feature.

CHAMONIX (1) secured the ideal trip in behind the speed here last start when holding on for the silver behind ELLIS STREET. A similar trip here can return a similar result.

SELECTIONS: REGAZZO DI TILLY (10), CONGO LINE (6), WE ALWAYS HAVE FAITH (3), CHAMONIX (1)
SUGGESTED BET: REGAZZO DI TILLY (10) to win