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Form Analysis: Redcliffe Oct 01

1 October 2020

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RACE TWO

KID CALVERT (1) may not have the speed to hold them out early, but with the economical trip he can then be ready to take the closing shot. Down the line last start behind GOSLING IN FLIGHT, he was too far back the start prior. Settling closer to the action, he can be ready to take the snipers shot.

WILLSINTOWN (7) hit the board again last start to make it a quinella finish at his past 4 in succession. Eased from gate 5, he was attacking the line strongly to be within 2m of the winner. Arriving for the prize the start prior after successive 2nds, he will be probing the gaps to challenge.

MAJOR HEI (9) might find this a shade easier than her last outing when striking trouble in the run but still only 9m in arrears. Winless since March 2018, with even luck she can make a play in this.

OOZINVILLE (2) has gate speed but often is left with no ammunition for the closing raid if they look at him in transit. That was the story last start and out in front here can be gripping on if left alone.

SELECTIONS: KID CALVERT (1), WILLSINTOWN (7), MAJOR HEI (9), OOZINVILLE (2)
SUGGESTED BET: KID CALVERT (1) to win

RACE THREE

ROCK THE HOUSE (7) eased from gate 6 last start to find position before working home strongly wide off the track to grab the bronze behind TILDALYN when 3m in arrears. He found them a bit too slippery the start prior and with the likelihood of the cosy run in transit, can be ready to strike.

A BETTER CHANCE (9) retreated from gate 4 last start and then couldn’t work into the contest in the closing stages. Working home to grab the bronze the start prior when 6m from the winner. Fitter after 2 runs back from a freshen, she can get the right trip to chime in late.


READILY (6) features in a stable change and line up here for Donny Smith for the 1st time. A long time between drinks, he has been struggling to recapture his best. He stays under a big watch.

FORTYFIVE ROCK (1) looked to take them all the way last start from this same gate when WRITEABOUTCHELSEA was the only runner to get by. Getting closer to breaking the duck, he is a podium hope.

SELECTIONS: ROCK THE HOUSE (7), A BETTER CHANCE (9), READILY (6), FORTYFIVE ROCK (1)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE FOUR

ELZBOY (3)
has not had much go in his favour in recent starts, the latest when snagged back to the tail from gate 5 prior to working home strongly when 8m from the winner MOLLYS SECRET. His run the start prior behind LARRY LINCOLN was full of merit and this looks his chance to capitalise.

DANCINGINTHEDARK (6) is in great touch with a top-3 at her past 6 in succession with 2 of those being victory. Too tough for them last start after obliged to face the breeze, she was able to pull clear to a 2.5m win. That was atonement for her 2nd the start prior with the gate the concern here.

STUDLEIGH WILL (7) started from gate 9 last time out when looking to work into the contest, finishing 11m from the winner DANCINGINTHEDARK. If able to settle, he will be probing for space.

BARA JAYLA (5) retreated from gate 4 last start to find the pegs and look for the short-cuts home. Finishing 10m from the winner LUCKY LYLA, it followed a sound effort in a mares qualifier. Look for her swooping.

SELECTIONS: ELZBOY (3), DANCINGINTHEDARK (6), STUDLEIGH WILL (7), BARA JAYLA (5)
SUGGESTED BET: ELZBOY (3) to win

RACE FIVE

NIFTY STUDLEIGH (4) ventures back to The Triangle for the 1st time in 10 months after racing predominantly at The Creek. Closing in good order last start over the mile behind LARRY LINCOLN, he struck trouble the start prior. From the gate he can look to get forward and he looks to get his chance to open his account on this track.

REGAL NIGHTSHADE (9) is approaching 12 months without a victory but his recent returns have been solid enough to suggest a win is not far away. Only 2.5m away last start from the 2nd line over the 2040m trip, the return to the short trip is in his favour and he can be making a closing play.

JILLIBY GIZMO (7) was taken back from gate 6 last start to go luck hunting but there was not much to be had when searching for gaps back in the pack. With the right trip he can offer late in this.

GHOST GUM (1) released the front here last start when down the line over the 2040m. Setting the tempo the start prior over the sprint trip, he scored a 2m victory. Back to the mile with options can see him feature.

SELECTIONS: NIFTY STUDLEIGH (4), REGAL NIGHTSHADE (9), JILLIBY GIZMO (7), GHOST GUM (1)
SUGGESTED BET: NIFTY STUDLEIGH (4) to win

RACE SIX

ALWAYS AT NIGHT (1) struck trouble in the run here last week and was put out of play to finish near the rear. Last start over the 2040m, he could not go on with it from the pocket trail behind the winner PACIFIC COIN. Back to the sprint trip suits and he gets his chance to dictate terms.

MAJOR LUCKY (9) was 2nd up from a freshen last start when strong to the line wide off the track in finishing 4m from the winner after starting from the 2nd line. 1st up he attacked the line with vigour when 5m from the winner OUR BALOU and despite the tough gate can look to challenge.

BEYOND A SHADOW (7) resumes from a freshen as she looks for her 1st victory in the Sunshine State. Fading down the line last start behind ONYA DOUG, she looks set for the comfy ride here.

DOWNTOWN LUCCA (3) has placed at his past 2 starts, the latest when working home from the 2nd line for the silver behind WHERES TASCOTT. Settling handy in this, he can be thereabouts.

SELECTIONS: ALWAYS AT NIGHT (1), MAJOR LUCKY (9), BEYOND A SHADOW (7), DOWNTOWN LUCCA (3)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-3-7-9

RACE SEVEN

In a race where the main chances all look to be off pace, it could be a chance for the race to be pinched. DAPPER BESSIE (4) took on a 2nd division qualifier last start from inside the 2nd line. With the perfect run throughout, she had arrows in the quiver and was able to release the string to hit the target up the passing lane in claiming a 4m victory. Only a head away 3 back, she can go back-to-back.

MONTEREY JACK (9) started from this gate last start when settling in the running line before making a strong closing challenge to cruise up and take the win. That was a solid reward after finishing the runner-up at 3 of his past 4 starts and despite another tough gate, look for him challenging again.

MONTANA EXPRESS (6) was a long way back last start when putting down some smart closing panels when not that far from the winner FAVOURITEHIGHLIGHT. A winner here 2 back when sweeping down the outer, he is in the mix.

ALI DOWNUNDER (8) could not go with them last start when trailing them in behind KIWIS ARE FLYING. Not that far away the start prior in a 2nd division qualifier, with a strong Redcliffe record he can feature.

SELECTIONS: DAPPER BESSIE (4), MONTEREY JACK (9), MONTANA EXPRESS (6), ALI DOWNUNDER (8)
SUGGESTED BET: DAPPER BESSIE (4) to win

RACE EIGHT

TAJIE BABY (1) looks to hold the key to this contest from the ace. Too strong from the breeze here 4 runs back when taking on a mares event, she then went to headquarters when holding 3rd in a mares qualifier. Too far back last start after retreating from gate 4, she looks to get every chance in this.

WANJIRU (7) found the right conditions here 2 starts back when dictating in front over this trip, claiming a 4m victory. Beaten by gate 6 last start, she retreated early before charging home to be within 5m of the winner. The cosy trip appeals and she can be ready to make a closing challenge.

ROCKNTINGIRA (3) was back in the pack last start in a 2nd division qualifier when trying to work into the contest. Only 5m away behind MILLWOOD TILLY the start prior, he can be in the mix here.

TINKA TERROR (2) has been in the money at her past 4 in succession, finishing the runner-up in the past 2. Releasing last start, she was 2m from the winner COBBLER LANE and from the gate has claims.

SELECTIONS: TAJIE BABY (1), WANJIRU (7), ROCKNTINGIRA (3), TINKA TERROR (2)
SUGGESTED BET: TAJIE BABY (1) to win

RACE NINE

MISTER COLE (7) started from this gate last time out and in the twinkling of an eye, his chances evaporated into the abyss. Buried away 4 back, he then struck traffic and never saw space until the race was well and truly in the bag for the winner LITTLELIONELJAMES. With better luck and some added fitness for his 3rd up run, he can atone.

IMPRESSIVE DIAMOND (1) looked to take them all the way last start over the sprint trip when leading them into the stretch. Trying to fight them off she had to settle for the bronze when 6m from the winner FAVOURITEHIGHLIGHT. With the gate to capitalise, she will be griping on.

SOMEBEACHSOMEGIFT (5) eased from the six-hole last start to settle near the rear of the pack. Moving around them strongly to cruise on by to a 6m victory, another run like that can see him go close.

JILLIBY JACKPOT (4) has claimed the bronze at his past 2 starts, the latest when sent around to the breeze before punching it out late to hold on. With 2 from 4 here at the track, he can feature.

SELECTIONS: MISTER COLE (7), IMPRESSIVE DIAMOND (1), SOMEBEACHSOMEGIFT (5), JILLIBY JACKPOT (4)
SUGGESTED BET: MISTER COLE (7) to win

RACE TEN

DELIGHTFUL MAJOR (3) will be 1st up in Aus and stepping out for the first time since March for the Darrel Graham barn. Trialling twice to prepare, the 1st of those was a smart hit-out behind WITH THE BAND and the 2nd was a dominant effort out in front in a smart closing 800m. He finds the right conditions to open in style.

ARBIT MAJOR (1) held the pocket trail from inside the 2nd line last time out when making a closing dive up the passing lane to be within a neck of the winner SMITHSTARS LEXUS. Buried a long way back against the poles the start prior, he can get the perfect trip to dive late again in this.

SAMS A BLAST (5) eased to find position last start from gate 3 before making some nice closing metres behind LISA LINCOLN. Chasing the smart DINA BOLT the start prior, he is not far off opening his Qld account.

BET IM SPECIAL (2) has been runner-up at his past 2 starts, the latest when gunned down late by ITZ MY GENERATION. Working home from back in the pack the start prior, he can settle handy from this alley to feature.

SELECTIONS: DELIGHTFUL MAJOR (3), ARBIT MAJOR (1), SAMS A BLAST (5), BET IM SPECIAL (2)
SUGGESTED BET: DELIGHTFUL MAJOR (3) to win