Form Analysis - Redcliffe July 4, 2024

RACE 1

BOSTON BRONSKI (3) showed gate speed last start to hold the lead and was just nabbed late by Zac Daniels. 

CEDAR CREEK FALLS (5) raced in the Redcliffe Yearling Sales Series and finishes midfield in both the heat and final, that form looks good for this race. 

GLOWING AMBER (7) showed promise at trials before a disappointing debut seventh, should be better for the outing and can improve in this. 

SOUTHERN SCARLET (8) is first up for the Battle stable and looks to gain a favourable run through early. 

SELECTIONS: BOSTON BRONSKI (3), CEDAR CREEK FALLS (5), GLOWING AMBER (7), SOUTHERN SCARLET (8)

SUGGESTED BET: CEDAR CREEK FALLS (5) each way 

RACE 2

LITTLEMICKEY (9) trialled nicely ahead of his return, despite drawing awkwardly he can figure in the finish. 

ROYAL STUDLEIGH (4) was competitive in tougher company last start. 

GOTTA GO TORQUE (8) will find this significantly easier than his last two outings, draws to follow a reasonable beginner. 

DEANOTHEDINOSAUR (6) was left in the breeze for the duration of the race in a race they dashed home a quick last half. 

SELECTIONS: LITTLEMICKEY (9), ROYAL STUDLEIGH (4), GOTTA GO TORQUE (8), DEANOTHEDINOSAUR (6)

SUGGESTED BET: LITTLEMICKEY (9)

RACE 3

CALCULATED RISK (1) lead most of the way two back at Marburg before a similar effort last start leading most of the way, can lead for a long way again in this. 

FANTASY BLASTER (7) was doing her best work late in the race last start, a soft trip in behind the speed should see her hard to beat. 

SHADYS DELIGHT (8) after two second placings in his last two runs he appears to be closing in on another win, has options from the draw. 

NUCLEAR BLING (9) was taken back last start from the wide gate and never got into the race, this appears more suitable. 

SELECTIONS: CALCULATED RISK (1), FANTASY BLASTER (7), SHADYS DELIGHT (8), NUCLEAR BLING (9)

SUGGESTED BET: SHADYS DELIGHT (8) each way 

RACE 4

SHES IN LINE (1) found herself parked outside the leader last time out and despite running sixth was beaten just 1.9 metres there. Aided by the inside draw in this race and can make her bid for victory out in front. 

KOWHAI BLAZE (7) has been thereabouts in her last few races without figuring in the placings, she draws to get soft run this race. 

FORGIVE ME (2) is a versatile horse, rarely far from the placings. 

MOSSMAN (6) was well supported first time out for the Charlie Martin stable last start, made a break when looming into the race. He remains also ODM which sees him face a more difficult test taking this race out. 

SELECTIONS: SHES IN LINE (1), KOWAHI BLAZE (7), FORGIVE ME (2), MOSSMAN (6)

SUGGESTED BET: MOSSMAN (6) each way 

RACE 5

PLAYA BLANCA (2) raced outside the leader last start over the 2040 and wasn’t beaten far, from the low draw she can make an early challenge. 

MASTER CHARLES (1) lead last start before dropping out and being stood down to trial, has since trialled soundly and draws the inside gate again. 

SHEZ NOTOTIOUS (8) contested an up to 90 NR race last start and wasn’t beaten far, will likely find this easier. 

ALTA EQUUS (6) raced at the rear of the field from a wide gate last start and ended up midfield, with more speed on he can play a part. 

SELECTIONS: PLAYA BLANCA (2), MASTER CHARLES (1), SHEZ NOTORIOUS (8), ALTA EQUUS

SUGGESTED BET: MASTER CHARLES (1) each way 

RACE 6

VINDICATE (5) drew a wide gate last start and was forced towards the rear before running on strongly late. Can look to do similar here. 

MAJIC MOMENT (7) was competitive last start racing in a Band 5, likely to get a soft run here can be thereabouts with luck. 

CAPTAINS PICK (3) showed gate speed two starts ago before using the sprint lane to win over the 2040 trip, looks one of the main chances from a good draw. 

CALL ME KEITH (8) was a last start winner leading all the way, draws to likely get a soft run through. 

SELECTIONS: VINDICATE (5), MAJIC MOMENT (7), CAPTAINS PICK (3), CALL ME KEITH (8)

SUGGESTED BET: MAJIC MOMENT (7) each way 

RACE 7

FOR NO REASON (4) dominant winner over the 2040 after sitting parked throughout last start, steps back in trip but looks hard to beat again and can be put into the race. 

HELL OF A HAND (7) draws to get a good run through at the start on a quick beginner, if the gaps appear she will be figuring. 

MERRY JEWEL (9) contested the Redcliffe Oaks and finished midfield last start, draws to get a soft run in this race. 

ALABAMA LIONESS (6) closed strongly last start after drawing outside the back row, faced by a similarly difficult gate here she can finish off strong again. 

SELECTIONS: FOR NO REASON (4), HELL OF A HAND (7), MERRY JEWEL (9), ALABAMA LIONESS (6)

SUGGESTED BET: HELL OF A HAND (7) each way

RACE 8

DATTITUDE (9) will likely find this race much easier having taken on a strong field last time out in a race won by The Rainbow Beach. Can be put into the contest at some stage. 

ARENA QUEEN (8) improved last start when runner up to Delightful Rainbow after finding the leaders back trail, won’t get as favourable a run here but still looks one of the main players. 

AGENT CALLAN (3) showed good gate speed two runs back to find the lead when winning, from a low draw similar tactics may be employed in this. 

HANOVER LECTOR (6) closed off strongly from the rear of the field last start, faced with a similar task here after drawing gate 6 again due to recent indiscretions having left her ODM. 

SELECTIONS: DATTITUDE (9), ARENA QUEEN (8), AGENT CALLAN (3), HANOVER LECTOR (6)

SUGGESTED BET: ARENA QUEEN (8) each way. 

RACE 9

PUMPKIN PAT (5) has been forced to race tough in his previous two starts for two thirds, may be forced to do the work again but has shown he’s capable under those circumstances. 

AMILLIONCHANCES (4) was a dominant winner last time out leading all the way and looks to have returned from a spell. 

COUGAR EXPRESS (1) showed gate speed two runs ago when not beaten far in fourth, beaten just over a length last time out in a restricted one win race. This race looks suitable. 

MY ULTIMATE IVY (9) made late ground last time out, this race appears slightly more suitable.

SELECTIONS: PUMPKIN PAT (5), AMILLIONCHANCES (4), COUGAR EXPRESS (1), MY ULTIMATE IVY (9)

SUGGESTED BET: AMILLIONCHANCES (4) each way 

RACE 10

MELTON Insulted (1) is a horse with good gate speed, elected to take a trail last start before finishing a close up third behind Modern Sheen. 

BEACH ON FIRE (7) looks likely to secure a soft trip in this race, racing better than his numerical form suggests. 

BEEF CITY STARZZZ (2) closed off strongly last start after a soft trip on the pegs. 

VERMONT (8) was able to win an easier race last start after sitting in the leaders back trail, this looks harder. 

Selections: MELTON INSULTED (1), BEACH ON FIRE (7), BEEF CITY STARZZZ (2), VERMONT (8)

Suggested Bet: BEACH ON FIRE (7) win